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LATEST Forecasts POSTS

WW3 forecast showing the huge area of swell pushing past and up out East Coast.

Swell alert – Wellington’s drought-breaker plus another Code Red for Tahiti.

Swell alert – Wellington’s drought-breaker plus another Code Red for Tahiti. By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland So, after a rather benign winter as far as the storm-track in our neck of the woods is concerned, with the Indian Ocean stealing the Lion’s share of the storm activity for most of 2014. A split-jet stream has been […]

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Billabong Tahiti Pro FINALS LIVE ON GOSURF

Live. Now and it’s going nuts….   

UKMO model forecast for Thursday showing W/SW winds across the upper-North Island (purple arrow) And the fetch in the low tilting out of line with NZ as the anchoring high slips to the east, pushed out of the way by the trough and low to its south.

East Coast Swell Alert: Small wind & ground swell event to break the drought

East Coast Swell Alert: Small wind & ground swell event to break the drought.  20th May 2014 By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland.  After a few weeks of no proper swell, the East Coast of the Upper-North Island looks likely to get a drink over the next few days as a pair of small sub-tropical lows form […]

Thurs 17th April

Easter Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 17th April 2014.

Easter Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 17th April 2014.  By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland.  Situation A very deep extratropical low, the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Ita, is sitting to the west of the North Island this evening driving rain and gale-force winds to much of New Zealand. A compact fetch of gale-force west to north-west winds will […]

Thur 10th April

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 19th April 2014.

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 19th April 2014.  By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland.  Situation High pressure retreats to the east as a surface lows  form in multiple troughs over northern NZ into tomorrow, as extra-tropical pressure in the south moves a series of short-wave troughs up the east coast of the South Island, invigorating the surface low […]

Thurs 3rd April

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 3rd April.

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 3rd April.  By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland.  Situation Weak high pressure on NZ moves to the NW as a deep low approaches from the East. The low will reach the East Cape on Sunday before veering back to the East. Solid east swell expected to arrive into Friday arvo and Saturday before […]

Thur 27th Mar

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 27th March.

Weekend Lowdown Forecast Thurs 27th March.  By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland. Quiet pattern across the region post Active Phase MJO.  Situation A ridge of high pressure builds onto NZ as a disturbed SW flow eases in the wake series of fronts associated with an extratropical low moving away to the east of NZ. Winds will become […]

Second

Special Forecast: East Coast Swell Alert – TC Mike and the equinox Squash-zone. March 20th 2014

Special Forecast: East Coast Swell Alert – Thursday March 20th 2014 By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland Bang on the equinox and the start of the solar Autumn in the Southern Hemisphere, the last fizzle of the Active Phase is moving out across the Pacific and Tropical Cyclone Mike briefly flared to life yesterday near the Cook […]

Hi-res GFS model showing Lusi making landfall on NZ through Saturday.

Special Forecast: Tropical Cyclone Lusi Wednesday March 12th 2014

Special Forecast: Tropical Cyclone Lusi Wednesday March 12th 2014 By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland.  So with much of the weather in our part of the world dominated by talk of Tropical Cyclone Lusi, currently sitting just East of Vanuatu this evening with sustained 10-minute winds to 67kt (120km/h) Making it a Cat 2 on the Aus […]

GFS powered WW3 model depicting the potential giant storm swell impacting the North Island point blank. This would be a dangerous, destructive storm surge and not really one that we could expect to produce good surf for NZ.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 10th March 2014

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 10th March 2014 By Paul ‘Greeny’ Greenland With the latest push of the Active Phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation well entrenched in the tropics to our north, a second Kelvin wave has pushed through and is currently spawning multiple tropical disturbances among the islands above us. One of these disturbances, TD18F […]